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Liga MX01:05 AM
Toluca
TOL
Mexico
01:05 AM
Mon, Aug 3
Necaxa
NCX
Mexico
AI Match IntelligenceBeta
Model v5 beta · Football · pre-match forecast
Confidence
62%
Predicted Win Probability
28%
TOL
21%
Draw
51%
NCX
Expected Goals
1.5
TOL
xG
2.06
NCX
Predicted Final Score
2
TOL
–
3
NCX
Recent Form
drives the model
TOL
1.5 for · 1.6 against / game
LWLLW
NCX
1.4 for · 1.5 against / game
WWWLD
Key Players
  • EL
    Edgar López
    TOL · 1G
    7.7
    AI rating
  • JC
    Julián Carranza
    NCX · 1G
    7.7
    AI rating
  • EL
    Everardo López
    TOL · 1G
    7.7
    AI rating
  • JG
    Jesús Gallardo with a cross
    TOL · 1A
    7.2
    AI rating
Discipline
TOL0Y · 0R
NCX1Y · 0R
Substitutions 0 – 0
AI Read
  • Edge leans Necaxa on recent form.
  • Toluca: LWLLW · 1.5 goals for / 1.6 against per game.
  • Projects roughly 1.50–2.06 goals at full time.
Prediction only · built from recent form and live feed data · never the official result · not betting advice
Live Timeline
  • ⚽29'
    E.López1–0
    assist: J.cross
  • ⚽42'
    J.Carranza1–1
    assist: A.corner
  • VAR44'
    VARJ.Carranza
  • 45'+4'
    R.Martínez
  • ⚽45'+5'
    E.López2–1
    assist: I.situation
Top Performers
  • ⚽
    Edgar López
    TOL
    ×1
  • ⚽
    Julián Carranza
    NCX
    ×1
  • ⚽
    Everardo López
    TOL
    ×1
Recent Form
TOL
LWLLW
2W 1D 5L · 12-13 in last 8
NCX
WWWLD
4W 2D 2L · 11-12 in last 8
Match Facts
  • Kickoff
    01:05 AM
  • Date
    Aug 3, 2026
  • Competition
    Liga MX
  • Venue
    Estadio Nemesio Díez Riega
  • Key events
    5
Stadium
Estadio Nemesio Díez Riega
Home ground of Toluca.
Weather
Weather forecast unavailable.
Referee
Referee not announced.